A.J. Burnett
Age: 32
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 12 |
7 |
167 |
159 |
16 |
63 |
164 |
8 |
77 |
71 |
3.83 |
26 |
26 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
128 |
136 |
56 |
122 |
16 |
8 |
4.78 |
| 20th |
138 |
141 |
57 |
133 |
16 |
8 |
4.43 |
| 30th |
148 |
147 |
59 |
143 |
16 |
8 |
4.20 |
| 40th |
157 |
153 |
61 |
154 |
16 |
8 |
4.01 |
| 50th |
167 |
159 |
63 |
164 |
16 |
8 |
3.83 |
| 60th |
171 |
159 |
63 |
169 |
15 |
8 |
3.63 |
| 70th |
175 |
160 |
62 |
174 |
15 |
7 |
3.50 |
| 80th |
179 |
159 |
61 |
180 |
14 |
7 |
3.32 |
| 90th |
184 |
157 |
60 |
186 |
12 |
6 |
3.03 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 38 |
3.6 |
16.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
32 |
168 |
153 |
65 |
174 |
15 |
8 |
3.63 |
1.0 |
3.7 |
16.3 |
| 2010 |
33 |
151 |
139 |
60 |
153 |
14 |
7 |
3.72 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
15.2 |
| 2011 |
34 |
135 |
125 |
55 |
135 |
12 |
6 |
3.74 |
1.0 |
2.8 |
14.7 |
| 2012 |
35 |
121 |
113 |
50 |
119 |
11 |
6 |
3.82 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
13.9 |
| 2013 |
36 |
109 |
103 |
46 |
105 |
10 |
5 |
3.89 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
13.5 |
| 2014 |
37 |
97 |
93 |
42 |
92 |
9 |
5 |
4.01 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
12.1 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.