Brian Burres
Age: 28
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
8 |
127 |
146 |
18 |
51 |
78 |
6 |
80 |
74 |
5.24 |
27 |
27 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
96 |
125 |
46 |
56 |
18 |
7 |
6.66 |
| 20th |
104 |
130 |
47 |
61 |
18 |
6 |
6.14 |
| 30th |
112 |
135 |
48 |
67 |
18 |
6 |
5.71 |
| 40th |
119 |
141 |
50 |
72 |
18 |
6 |
5.52 |
| 50th |
127 |
146 |
51 |
78 |
18 |
6 |
5.24 |
| 60th |
130 |
146 |
51 |
81 |
17 |
6 |
4.98 |
| 70th |
133 |
146 |
50 |
84 |
17 |
5 |
4.80 |
| 80th |
137 |
144 |
49 |
88 |
15 |
5 |
4.40 |
| 90th |
141 |
143 |
47 |
92 |
14 |
4 |
4.09 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
28 |
127 |
144 |
51 |
83 |
16 |
6 |
5.05 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
| 2010 |
29 |
115 |
131 |
45 |
74 |
15 |
5 |
5.07 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
2.8 |
| 2011 |
30 |
103 |
118 |
41 |
65 |
13 |
5 |
5.11 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
31 |
92 |
106 |
38 |
58 |
12 |
4 |
5.20 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
| 2013 |
32 |
83 |
96 |
35 |
51 |
11 |
4 |
5.28 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
33 |
74 |
87 |
32 |
45 |
10 |
3 |
5.40 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.