Brok Butcher
Age: 25
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
80 |
100 |
14 |
36 |
36 |
4 |
59 |
55 |
6.19 |
15 |
15 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
59 |
87 |
34 |
24 |
15 |
5 |
8.39 |
| 20th |
64 |
91 |
34 |
27 |
15 |
5 |
7.88 |
| 30th |
70 |
93 |
35 |
30 |
14 |
4 |
6.94 |
| 40th |
75 |
97 |
35 |
33 |
14 |
4 |
6.48 |
| 50th |
80 |
100 |
36 |
36 |
14 |
4 |
6.19 |
| 60th |
83 |
99 |
35 |
38 |
13 |
4 |
5.64 |
| 70th |
85 |
99 |
35 |
40 |
12 |
3 |
5.29 |
| 80th |
88 |
97 |
33 |
42 |
11 |
3 |
4.70 |
| 90th |
91 |
95 |
32 |
45 |
9 |
2 |
4.25 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
80 |
99 |
37 |
38 |
15 |
4 |
6.16 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
72 |
90 |
32 |
34 |
13 |
3 |
6.09 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
65 |
81 |
29 |
31 |
12 |
3 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
59 |
73 |
25 |
27 |
11 |
3 |
6.04 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
53 |
67 |
22 |
24 |
10 |
2 |
6.12 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
47 |
60 |
20 |
22 |
9 |
2 |
6.25 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.