Baseball Projection.com

Daniel Cabrera

Age: 28 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
8	11	173	174	19	84	137	12	95	88	4.58	29	29

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	132	148	73	101	19	12	5.66
20th	143	154	76	110	19	12	5.22
30th	153	161	78	119	19	12	5.00
40th	163	168	81	128	19	12	4.80
50th	173	174	84	137	19	12	4.58
60th	177	174	84	141	18	12	4.37
70th	181	175	83	146	18	11	4.23
80th	186	174	82	151	16	10	3.87
90th	191	173	81	157	15	9	3.68

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

18 1.7 7.9

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 172 176 84 128 19 12 4.67 1.0 1.7 7.5

2010 29 155 159 74 114 17 11 4.65 1.0 1.6 7.8

2011 30 139 144 68 101 16 10 4.78 1.0 1.2 6.6

2012 31 124 130 62 89 14 9 4.85 1.0 1.0 5.6

2013 32 112 117 57 79 13 8 4.88 1.0 0.9 5.5

2014 33 100 105 52 70 11 7 4.89 1.0 0.8 5.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
18	1.7	7.9

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	28	172	176	84	128	19	12	4.67	1.0	1.7	7.5
2010	29	155	159	74	114	17	11	4.65	1.0	1.6	7.8
2011	30	139	144	68	101	16	10	4.78	1.0	1.2	6.6
2012	31	124	130	62	89	14	9	4.85	1.0	1.0	5.6
2013	32	112	117	57	79	13	8	4.88	1.0	0.9	5.5
2014	33	100	105	52	70	11	7	4.89	1.0	0.8	5.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.