Baseball Projection.com

Lorenzo Cain

Age: 23 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
124	490	61	114	24	5	6	45	17	7	41	133	3	0.233	0.296	0.339	-30	OF	5.8

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-2	0	20	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0.200	0.238	0.250
20th	-13	0	140	28	5	1	1	10	41	0	0.200	0.253	0.271
30th	-21	0	258	55	11	2	2	19	74	1	0.213	0.270	0.295
40th	-25	0	374	83	17	3	4	30	104	2	0.222	0.283	0.316
50th	-26	0	490	114	24	5	6	41	133	3	0.233	0.296	0.339
60th	-22	0	517	125	27	6	7	46	137	4	0.242	0.309	0.358
70th	-14	5	545	137	30	7	9	51	140	5	0.251	0.321	0.382
80th	-6	14	571	149	34	9	10	57	143	6	0.261	0.334	0.405
90th	1	22	599	163	38	11	12	62	146	7	0.272	0.347	0.432

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	23	493	116	24	5	6	17	7	38	131	3	0.235	0.294	0.341
2010	24	491	119	25	5	6	17	7	40	126	3	0.242	0.303	0.350
2011	25	490	119	26	4	6	17	7	41	122	3	0.243	0.305	0.349
2012	26	488	119	26	4	6	17	6	43	119	3	0.244	0.309	0.350
2013	27	487	119	27	4	6	16	6	44	118	3	0.244	0.311	0.353
2014	28	486	117	26	4	6	15	6	45	118	3	0.241	0.309	0.348

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	--	--	--	--	13	7	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.8	3.5
Good (+7 runs)	0.5	2.2
Average (0 runs)	0.3	1.3
Poor (-7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	4

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.