Baseball Projection.com

Jorge Campillo

Age: 30 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
8 7 130 141 15 37 86 4 68 63 4.36 24 24

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 99 122 34 62 16 5 5.64
20th 106 127 35 68 16 4 5.35
30th 115 131 35 74 15 4 4.77
40th 122 136 36 80 15 4 4.57
50th 130 141 37 86 15 4 4.36
60th 133 141 36 89 14 4 4.13
70th 136 140 36 92 13 3 3.90
80th 140 139 35 96 12 3 3.60
90th 144 138 33 101 11 2 3.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
15 1.4 6.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 30 128 145 37 80 16 4 4.68 1.0 1.2 5.4
2010 31 115 131 34 71 14 3 4.69 1.0 1.1 5.5
2011 32 104 118 31 63 13 3 4.70 1.0 1.0 5.1
2012 33 93 106 28 55 11 3 4.70 1.0 0.9 5.0
2013 34 84 96 26 49 10 2 4.72 1.0 0.8 4.9
2014 35 75 87 24 43 9 2 4.85 1.0 0.6 4.0

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.