Baseball Projection.com

Anthony Carter

Age: 23 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 5 57 79 16 34 25 3 55 51 8.05 13 13

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 40 72 33 15 18 4 12.60
20th 45 73 33 17 17 4 10.60
30th 49 75 33 20 17 3 9.55
40th 53 77 34 22 16 3 8.66
50th 57 79 34 25 16 3 8.05
60th 59 78 33 27 15 3 7.32
70th 62 77 32 29 14 2 6.53
80th 65 74 30 31 12 2 5.68
90th 68 72 28 34 10 1 4.76

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 59 75 34 27 14 3 7.06 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 53 67 30 25 12 2 6.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 48 61 26 22 11 2 6.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 43 55 23 20 10 2 6.93 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 39 50 20 18 9 2 6.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 35 45 18 16 8 2 6.91 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.