Baseball Projection.com

Robert Cassevah

Age: 23 Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 3 36 43 6 26 19 2 29 27 6.75 35 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 25 39 25 11 7 3 10.80
20th 28 40 25 13 7 3 9.32
30th 31 41 25 15 7 2 8.13
40th 33 42 26 17 6 2 7.36
50th 36 43 26 19 6 2 6.75
60th 38 42 25 20 5 2 5.68
70th 39 42 25 22 5 1 5.31
80th 41 40 24 23 4 1 4.39
90th 43 39 22 25 3 1 3.77

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 36 42 26 20 6 2 6.44 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 33 38 23 19 6 2 6.40 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 29 34 21 17 5 2 6.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 26 32 18 15 5 1 6.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 24 28 16 14 4 1 6.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 22 26 14 12 4 1 6.34 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.