Jesus Castillo
Age: 25
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
6 |
93 |
105 |
16 |
39 |
52 |
5 |
60 |
56 |
5.42 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
69 |
93 |
36 |
35 |
17 |
6 |
7.43 |
| 20th |
75 |
96 |
37 |
40 |
17 |
6 |
6.84 |
| 30th |
82 |
98 |
37 |
44 |
16 |
5 |
6.04 |
| 40th |
87 |
102 |
38 |
48 |
16 |
5 |
5.79 |
| 50th |
93 |
105 |
39 |
52 |
16 |
5 |
5.42 |
| 60th |
96 |
104 |
38 |
54 |
15 |
5 |
5.06 |
| 70th |
99 |
103 |
37 |
57 |
14 |
4 |
4.64 |
| 80th |
102 |
102 |
36 |
60 |
13 |
4 |
4.24 |
| 90th |
106 |
99 |
34 |
64 |
11 |
3 |
3.65 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
92 |
108 |
39 |
48 |
15 |
5 |
5.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
83 |
98 |
34 |
43 |
14 |
4 |
5.59 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
75 |
88 |
30 |
38 |
12 |
4 |
5.48 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2012 |
28 |
67 |
80 |
27 |
34 |
11 |
3 |
5.60 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
61 |
72 |
24 |
30 |
10 |
3 |
5.51 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
54 |
65 |
22 |
27 |
9 |
3 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.