Brett Cecil
Age: 22
Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
84 |
85 |
11 |
39 |
66 |
4 |
47 |
43 |
4.61 |
19 |
19 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
62 |
77 |
37 |
45 |
13 |
5 |
6.82 |
| 20th |
68 |
78 |
37 |
50 |
12 |
5 |
5.82 |
| 30th |
73 |
81 |
38 |
56 |
12 |
4 |
5.42 |
| 40th |
79 |
83 |
38 |
61 |
11 |
4 |
4.90 |
| 50th |
84 |
85 |
39 |
66 |
11 |
4 |
4.61 |
| 60th |
87 |
84 |
38 |
69 |
10 |
4 |
4.24 |
| 70th |
89 |
83 |
37 |
72 |
9 |
3 |
3.84 |
| 80th |
92 |
81 |
36 |
76 |
8 |
3 |
3.42 |
| 90th |
96 |
79 |
34 |
81 |
7 |
2 |
3.00 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
1.1 |
5.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
84 |
84 |
39 |
70 |
10 |
4 |
4.47 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2010 |
23 |
76 |
76 |
34 |
65 |
9 |
3 |
4.40 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2011 |
24 |
69 |
67 |
30 |
60 |
8 |
3 |
4.22 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
5.6 |
| 2012 |
25 |
62 |
60 |
27 |
54 |
7 |
3 |
4.20 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
5.6 |
| 2013 |
26 |
56 |
55 |
24 |
48 |
7 |
2 |
4.30 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
| 2014 |
27 |
50 |
50 |
21 |
43 |
6 |
2 |
4.34 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
4.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.