Xavier Cedeno
Age: 22
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
98 |
126 |
16 |
55 |
48 |
4 |
77 |
71 |
6.52 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
73 |
110 |
50 |
32 |
17 |
5 |
8.75 |
| 20th |
79 |
114 |
51 |
36 |
17 |
5 |
8.09 |
| 30th |
86 |
118 |
52 |
40 |
16 |
4 |
7.22 |
| 40th |
92 |
122 |
54 |
44 |
16 |
4 |
6.85 |
| 50th |
98 |
126 |
55 |
48 |
16 |
4 |
6.52 |
| 60th |
101 |
126 |
54 |
50 |
15 |
4 |
6.06 |
| 70th |
104 |
125 |
53 |
53 |
14 |
3 |
5.71 |
| 80th |
108 |
123 |
52 |
56 |
13 |
3 |
5.17 |
| 90th |
112 |
121 |
50 |
60 |
11 |
2 |
4.58 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
100 |
123 |
54 |
48 |
15 |
4 |
6.07 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
90 |
110 |
48 |
44 |
13 |
3 |
5.95 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
82 |
99 |
42 |
41 |
12 |
3 |
5.83 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
74 |
89 |
37 |
37 |
11 |
3 |
5.80 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
26 |
66 |
81 |
33 |
33 |
10 |
3 |
5.96 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
27 |
60 |
73 |
29 |
30 |
9 |
2 |
5.81 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.