Jhoulys Chacin
Age: 21
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 2 |
4 |
52 |
63 |
10 |
26 |
35 |
3 |
39 |
36 |
6.23 |
11 |
11 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
37 |
58 |
26 |
22 |
12 |
4 |
9.97 |
| 20th |
41 |
59 |
26 |
25 |
11 |
4 |
8.56 |
| 30th |
45 |
60 |
26 |
29 |
11 |
3 |
7.40 |
| 40th |
49 |
61 |
26 |
32 |
10 |
3 |
6.61 |
| 50th |
52 |
63 |
26 |
35 |
10 |
3 |
6.23 |
| 60th |
54 |
62 |
25 |
37 |
9 |
3 |
5.50 |
| 70th |
56 |
61 |
24 |
39 |
8 |
2 |
4.98 |
| 80th |
59 |
59 |
23 |
42 |
7 |
2 |
4.27 |
| 90th |
62 |
57 |
21 |
45 |
6 |
1 |
3.48 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
21 |
53 |
61 |
26 |
35 |
9 |
3 |
5.69 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
22 |
48 |
55 |
23 |
32 |
8 |
2 |
5.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
23 |
43 |
50 |
20 |
30 |
8 |
2 |
5.76 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
24 |
39 |
44 |
18 |
28 |
7 |
2 |
5.54 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
25 |
35 |
40 |
16 |
25 |
6 |
2 |
5.56 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
26 |
32 |
36 |
14 |
22 |
5 |
2 |
5.33 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.