Joba Chamberlain
Age: 23
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 8 |
3 |
102 |
86 |
9 |
39 |
112 |
3 |
40 |
37 |
3.26 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
77 |
76 |
36 |
81 |
10 |
4 |
4.56 |
| 20th |
83 |
79 |
37 |
88 |
10 |
4 |
4.23 |
| 30th |
90 |
81 |
37 |
97 |
10 |
3 |
3.80 |
| 40th |
96 |
84 |
38 |
104 |
9 |
3 |
3.47 |
| 50th |
102 |
86 |
39 |
112 |
9 |
3 |
3.26 |
| 60th |
105 |
85 |
38 |
116 |
8 |
3 |
3.00 |
| 70th |
108 |
85 |
38 |
120 |
8 |
2 |
2.83 |
| 80th |
111 |
83 |
36 |
125 |
7 |
2 |
2.51 |
| 90th |
115 |
81 |
34 |
131 |
6 |
1 |
2.19 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 30 |
2.9 |
13.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
103 |
83 |
40 |
119 |
9 |
3 |
3.11 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
12.6 |
| 2010 |
24 |
93 |
74 |
36 |
109 |
8 |
3 |
3.06 |
1.0 |
2.7 |
12.9 |
| 2011 |
25 |
84 |
66 |
31 |
99 |
7 |
3 |
2.97 |
1.0 |
2.5 |
13.2 |
| 2012 |
26 |
75 |
60 |
28 |
88 |
6 |
3 |
3.02 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
12.8 |
| 2013 |
27 |
68 |
55 |
24 |
79 |
6 |
2 |
3.05 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
12.3 |
| 2014 |
28 |
61 |
49 |
22 |
70 |
5 |
2 |
3.01 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
12.8 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.