Baseball Projection.com

Stephen Chapman

Age: 23 Team: MIL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
116	421	46	75	14	4	11	44	8	3	30	178	2	0.178	0.236	0.309	-53	1B	6.5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-3	0	17	2	0	0	0	1	8	0	0.118	0.167	0.118
20th	-16	0	120	17	3	1	2	7	54	0	0.142	0.189	0.233
30th	-28	0	222	34	6	1	4	13	98	1	0.153	0.203	0.243
40th	-34	0	322	53	10	2	7	21	139	1	0.165	0.218	0.273
50th	-39	0	421	75	14	4	11	30	178	2	0.178	0.236	0.309
60th	-35	0	454	86	17	5	14	35	187	3	0.189	0.252	0.341
70th	-29	0	486	98	20	7	16	40	196	4	0.202	0.268	0.370
80th	-21	0	519	111	23	9	19	45	204	5	0.214	0.283	0.403
90th	-13	6	551	124	26	11	23	51	212	6	0.225	0.298	0.437

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	23	423	76	15	4	10	8	3	28	175	2	0.180	0.234	0.305
2010	24	422	79	16	4	11	8	3	29	168	2	0.187	0.243	0.322
2011	25	421	80	16	4	11	8	3	30	163	2	0.190	0.247	0.325
2012	26	420	82	17	4	12	8	3	31	159	2	0.195	0.254	0.340
2013	27	419	82	17	3	12	8	3	32	157	2	0.196	0.256	0.337
2014	28	418	80	17	3	12	7	2	33	157	2	0.191	0.254	0.333

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-4	--	--	--	6	-1	-8

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.2	0.9
Good (+7 runs)	0.1	0.4
Average (0 runs)	0	0.4
Poor (-7 runs)	0	0.4
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.