Matt Chico
Age: 26
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
103 |
118 |
15 |
41 |
63 |
3 |
64 |
59 |
5.16 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
77 |
103 |
38 |
44 |
16 |
4 |
6.90 |
| 20th |
84 |
107 |
38 |
49 |
16 |
4 |
6.32 |
| 30th |
90 |
110 |
39 |
54 |
15 |
3 |
5.80 |
| 40th |
97 |
114 |
40 |
58 |
15 |
3 |
5.38 |
| 50th |
103 |
118 |
41 |
63 |
15 |
3 |
5.16 |
| 60th |
106 |
117 |
40 |
66 |
14 |
3 |
4.75 |
| 70th |
108 |
117 |
40 |
68 |
13 |
2 |
4.67 |
| 80th |
111 |
116 |
39 |
71 |
12 |
2 |
4.30 |
| 90th |
115 |
114 |
37 |
75 |
11 |
1 |
3.83 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 7 |
0.7 |
3.5 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
26 |
102 |
119 |
41 |
59 |
15 |
3 |
5.32 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.3 |
| 2010 |
27 |
92 |
108 |
36 |
52 |
14 |
3 |
5.37 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
| 2011 |
28 |
83 |
97 |
32 |
47 |
12 |
3 |
5.29 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
| 2012 |
29 |
75 |
88 |
28 |
42 |
11 |
2 |
5.26 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
| 2013 |
30 |
67 |
79 |
26 |
37 |
10 |
2 |
5.36 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
| 2014 |
31 |
60 |
71 |
24 |
33 |
9 |
2 |
5.43 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.