Baseball Projection.com

Tyler Clippard

Age: 24 Team: WAS

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	9	133	129	19	68	112	4	74	68	4.6	26	26

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	101	112	60	81	19	5	5.97
20th	109	116	62	89	19	5	5.53
30th	117	120	64	97	19	4	5.15
40th	125	125	66	104	19	4	4.90
50th	133	129	68	112	19	4	4.60
60th	136	129	67	116	18	4	4.43
70th	140	128	67	120	17	3	4.11
80th	143	127	66	124	16	3	3.84
90th	148	125	64	130	15	2	3.47

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

14 1.3 6.1

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 132 130 68 104 19 4 4.71 1.0 1.2 5.4

2010 25 119 117 60 94 17 4 4.67 1.0 1.1 5.5

2011 26 107 107 53 84 16 3 4.76 1.0 1.0 5.1

2012 27 97 96 47 75 14 3 4.66 1.0 1.0 5.6

2013 28 87 87 41 67 13 3 4.72 1.0 0.9 5.5

2014 29 79 79 36 60 12 2 4.67 1.0 0.8 5.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
14	1.3	6.1

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	24	132	130	68	104	19	4	4.71	1.0	1.2	5.4
2010	25	119	117	60	94	17	4	4.67	1.0	1.1	5.5
2011	26	107	107	53	84	16	3	4.76	1.0	1.0	5.1
2012	27	97	96	47	75	14	3	4.66	1.0	1.0	5.6
2013	28	87	87	41	67	13	3	4.72	1.0	0.9	5.5
2014	29	79	79	36	60	12	2	4.67	1.0	0.8	5.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.