Baseball Projection.com

Kyle Cofield

Age: 22 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 6 86 96 14 64 49 4 64 59 6.17 18 18

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 63 86 59 32 16 5 9.00
20th 69 88 60 36 15 5 7.96
30th 74 91 61 41 15 5 7.42
40th 80 93 63 45 14 4 6.64
50th 86 96 64 49 14 4 6.17
60th 89 95 63 52 13 4 5.66
70th 92 94 62 54 12 3 5.18
80th 96 92 60 58 10 2 4.50
90th 100 89 57 62 8 2 3.87

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 85 98 64 46 14 4 6.41 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 77 89 56 42 13 3 6.35 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 70 80 50 39 12 3 6.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 63 72 44 35 11 3 6.27 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 57 65 39 32 10 2 6.18 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 51 59 34 28 9 2 6.23 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.