Baseball Projection.com

Jesus Colome

Age: 31 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 4 61 62 6 30 46 3 33 31 4.57 54 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 45 55 28 32 7 4 6.40
20th 49 57 28 36 7 3 5.69
30th 53 58 29 39 6 3 5.26
40th 57 60 29 43 6 3 4.89
50th 61 62 30 46 6 3 4.57
60th 62 62 29 48 6 3 4.50
70th 64 61 29 50 5 2 3.94
80th 66 60 28 53 4 2 3.55
90th 69 58 27 56 3 2 3.00

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 31 60 63 30 43 6 3 4.73 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 32 54 57 27 38 6 2 4.80 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 33 49 51 25 34 5 2 4.70 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 34 44 46 23 30 4 2 4.69 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 35 39 41 21 26 4 2 4.87 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 36 35 38 19 23 4 2 5.16 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.