Aaron Cook
Age: 30
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 10 |
10 |
182 |
224 |
15 |
48 |
82 |
6 |
104 |
96 |
4.75 |
29 |
29 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
139 |
190 |
43 |
59 |
16 |
7 |
5.89 |
| 20th |
151 |
198 |
44 |
65 |
15 |
6 |
5.36 |
| 30th |
161 |
206 |
45 |
71 |
15 |
6 |
5.14 |
| 40th |
171 |
215 |
47 |
76 |
15 |
6 |
4.95 |
| 50th |
182 |
224 |
48 |
82 |
15 |
6 |
4.75 |
| 60th |
186 |
225 |
47 |
85 |
14 |
6 |
4.55 |
| 70th |
190 |
226 |
47 |
88 |
14 |
5 |
4.41 |
| 80th |
195 |
224 |
46 |
92 |
12 |
5 |
4.11 |
| 90th |
200 |
224 |
44 |
96 |
11 |
4 |
3.87 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 23 |
2.2 |
10.1 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
183 |
219 |
48 |
82 |
14 |
6 |
4.53 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
9.2 |
| 2010 |
31 |
165 |
198 |
44 |
72 |
13 |
5 |
4.57 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
8.8 |
| 2011 |
32 |
148 |
178 |
40 |
64 |
11 |
4 |
4.55 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
9.1 |
| 2012 |
33 |
133 |
160 |
37 |
57 |
10 |
4 |
4.59 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
8.4 |
| 2013 |
34 |
119 |
144 |
34 |
50 |
9 |
4 |
4.66 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
8.0 |
| 2014 |
35 |
107 |
130 |
31 |
44 |
8 |
3 |
4.67 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
7.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.