Adam Cowart
Age: 25
Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
113 |
140 |
16 |
40 |
52 |
3 |
74 |
68 |
5.42 |
22 |
22 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
84 |
122 |
38 |
35 |
18 |
4 |
7.39 |
| 20th |
91 |
127 |
38 |
39 |
17 |
4 |
6.82 |
| 30th |
99 |
131 |
38 |
44 |
17 |
3 |
6.18 |
| 40th |
106 |
135 |
39 |
48 |
16 |
3 |
5.77 |
| 50th |
113 |
140 |
40 |
52 |
16 |
3 |
5.42 |
| 60th |
116 |
140 |
39 |
54 |
15 |
3 |
5.20 |
| 70th |
119 |
139 |
38 |
57 |
14 |
2 |
4.84 |
| 80th |
123 |
137 |
37 |
60 |
12 |
2 |
4.32 |
| 90th |
127 |
134 |
35 |
64 |
10 |
1 |
3.90 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 5 |
0.5 |
2.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
25 |
113 |
140 |
40 |
50 |
17 |
3 |
5.52 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
26 |
101 |
127 |
36 |
44 |
16 |
3 |
5.68 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
27 |
91 |
114 |
31 |
40 |
14 |
3 |
5.59 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
28 |
82 |
104 |
28 |
35 |
13 |
3 |
5.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
29 |
74 |
94 |
25 |
31 |
12 |
2 |
5.70 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
30 |
67 |
84 |
22 |
28 |
10 |
2 |
5.52 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.