Baseball Projection.com

Jason Cromer

Age: 28 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 48 52 5 20 29 2 27 25 4.69 42 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 46 19 20 6 2 6.50
20th 39 48 19 22 6 2 6.00
30th 42 49 19 25 5 2 5.36
40th 45 50 20 27 5 2 5.00
50th 48 52 20 29 5 2 4.69
60th 49 52 20 30 5 2 4.59
70th 51 51 19 32 4 2 3.88
80th 53 50 19 34 4 1 3.57
90th 54 49 18 36 3 1 3.17

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 48 53 20 30 5 2 4.76 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 29 43 48 17 27 5 2 4.86 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 30 39 43 16 24 4 1 4.68 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 31 35 39 15 21 4 1 4.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 32 31 35 13 19 3 1 4.81 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 33 28 32 12 17 3 1 4.99 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.