Baseball Projection.com

Cody Crowell

Age: 23 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 2 24 29 6 18 14 1 21 19 7.13 25 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 17 26 17 9 7 2 11.12
20th 19 28 17 10 7 1 9.95
30th 21 28 17 11 6 1 8.14
40th 23 28 18 13 6 1 7.43
50th 24 29 18 14 6 1 7.13
60th 25 29 18 15 6 1 6.84
70th 26 28 17 16 5 1 5.88
80th 27 28 16 17 5 0 5.33
90th 29 26 16 19 4 0 4.34

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 25 28 18 15 5 1 6.39 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 22 26 16 14 5 1 6.94 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 25 20 23 14 12 4 1 6.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 26 18 21 12 11 4 1 6.68 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 16 19 11 10 4 1 7.06 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 28 14 17 10 9 3 1 7.08 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.