Juan Cruz
Age: 30
Team: KCA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
4 |
67 |
60 |
5 |
35 |
77 |
4 |
31 |
29 |
3.9 |
59 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
49 |
54 |
32 |
54 |
6 |
5 |
5.69 |
| 20th |
54 |
55 |
33 |
60 |
6 |
5 |
5.17 |
| 30th |
59 |
56 |
33 |
66 |
5 |
4 |
4.27 |
| 40th |
63 |
58 |
34 |
72 |
5 |
4 |
4.14 |
| 50th |
67 |
60 |
35 |
77 |
5 |
4 |
3.90 |
| 60th |
68 |
60 |
34 |
80 |
5 |
4 |
3.71 |
| 70th |
71 |
59 |
34 |
83 |
4 |
3 |
3.30 |
| 80th |
73 |
57 |
33 |
87 |
3 |
3 |
2.84 |
| 90th |
76 |
56 |
31 |
92 |
2 |
2 |
2.37 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 10 |
1.4 |
6.6 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
30 |
69 |
55 |
34 |
86 |
5 |
4 |
3.28 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
6.8 |
| 2010 |
31 |
61 |
50 |
31 |
76 |
5 |
4 |
3.50 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2011 |
32 |
55 |
45 |
29 |
67 |
4 |
3 |
3.44 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
4.6 |
| 2012 |
33 |
49 |
41 |
26 |
60 |
4 |
3 |
3.62 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
3.2 |
| 2013 |
34 |
44 |
37 |
24 |
52 |
3 |
3 |
3.60 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
3.5 |
| 2014 |
35 |
40 |
34 |
22 |
46 |
3 |
2 |
3.66 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
2.9 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.