Jeremy Cummings
Age: 32
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
5 |
87 |
90 |
15 |
32 |
57 |
3 |
50 |
46 |
4.76 |
17 |
17 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
65 |
79 |
30 |
40 |
16 |
4 |
6.51 |
| 20th |
71 |
82 |
30 |
44 |
15 |
4 |
5.83 |
| 30th |
76 |
84 |
31 |
49 |
15 |
3 |
5.33 |
| 40th |
82 |
87 |
31 |
53 |
15 |
3 |
4.94 |
| 50th |
87 |
90 |
32 |
57 |
15 |
3 |
4.76 |
| 60th |
90 |
89 |
31 |
59 |
14 |
3 |
4.30 |
| 70th |
92 |
89 |
31 |
62 |
14 |
2 |
4.21 |
| 80th |
95 |
87 |
30 |
65 |
12 |
2 |
3.79 |
| 90th |
98 |
85 |
29 |
68 |
11 |
1 |
3.31 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 9 |
0.9 |
4.4 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
32 |
87 |
91 |
31 |
60 |
15 |
3 |
4.78 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
| 2010 |
33 |
77 |
83 |
29 |
53 |
14 |
3 |
5.07 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
1.8 |
| 2011 |
34 |
70 |
74 |
26 |
47 |
12 |
3 |
4.89 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.5 |
| 2012 |
35 |
63 |
67 |
24 |
41 |
11 |
2 |
4.94 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
2.8 |
| 2013 |
36 |
56 |
61 |
22 |
36 |
10 |
2 |
5.14 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
| 2014 |
37 |
50 |
55 |
20 |
32 |
9 |
2 |
5.23 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
1.3 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.