Baseball Projection.com

Eric Cyr

Age: 30 Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 5 75 81 13 34 54 3 47 43 5.16 15 15

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 55 72 32 37 14 4 7.36
20th 61 74 32 42 14 4 6.49
30th 66 76 33 46 13 3 5.86
40th 70 79 33 50 13 3 5.53
50th 75 81 34 54 13 3 5.16
60th 77 80 33 56 12 3 4.91
70th 79 80 33 59 12 2 4.67
80th 82 78 31 62 10 2 4.06
90th 86 76 30 66 9 1 3.45

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 30 74 84 34 49 12 3 5.45 1.0 0.1 0.4
2010 31 67 75 31 44 11 3 5.41 1.0 0.1 0.5
2011 32 60 68 29 39 10 2 5.52 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 33 54 61 26 34 9 2 5.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 34 48 55 24 30 8 2 5.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 35 43 50 22 26 7 2 5.77 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.