Matt Daley
Age: 27
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
4 |
69 |
69 |
10 |
32 |
61 |
4 |
39 |
36 |
4.7 |
61 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
51 |
62 |
30 |
42 |
11 |
5 |
6.88 |
| 20th |
55 |
64 |
30 |
47 |
11 |
5 |
6.22 |
| 30th |
60 |
65 |
31 |
52 |
10 |
4 |
5.40 |
| 40th |
64 |
67 |
31 |
57 |
10 |
4 |
5.06 |
| 50th |
69 |
69 |
32 |
61 |
10 |
4 |
4.70 |
| 60th |
71 |
68 |
31 |
64 |
9 |
4 |
4.31 |
| 70th |
73 |
68 |
31 |
66 |
9 |
3 |
4.07 |
| 80th |
75 |
66 |
30 |
70 |
8 |
3 |
3.72 |
| 90th |
78 |
65 |
28 |
74 |
7 |
2 |
3.23 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
69 |
67 |
32 |
61 |
9 |
4 |
4.48 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
28 |
63 |
61 |
28 |
54 |
8 |
3 |
4.37 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
| 2011 |
29 |
56 |
55 |
25 |
48 |
8 |
3 |
4.57 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
30 |
50 |
50 |
23 |
43 |
7 |
3 |
4.69 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
31 |
45 |
45 |
21 |
38 |
6 |
2 |
4.61 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
32 |
41 |
41 |
19 |
34 |
6 |
2 |
4.71 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.