Wade Davis
Age: 23
Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 7 |
8 |
135 |
136 |
19 |
69 |
94 |
8 |
79 |
73 |
4.87 |
26 |
26 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
102 |
118 |
62 |
67 |
20 |
9 |
6.35 |
| 20th |
110 |
122 |
63 |
74 |
19 |
9 |
5.81 |
| 30th |
118 |
127 |
65 |
81 |
19 |
8 |
5.49 |
| 40th |
126 |
132 |
67 |
87 |
19 |
8 |
5.21 |
| 50th |
135 |
136 |
69 |
94 |
19 |
8 |
4.87 |
| 60th |
138 |
135 |
68 |
98 |
18 |
8 |
4.57 |
| 70th |
142 |
135 |
68 |
101 |
17 |
7 |
4.31 |
| 80th |
146 |
134 |
66 |
106 |
16 |
6 |
4.01 |
| 90th |
151 |
131 |
64 |
112 |
14 |
5 |
3.52 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
1.1 |
5.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
135 |
138 |
67 |
99 |
19 |
8 |
4.88 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2010 |
24 |
121 |
124 |
60 |
91 |
17 |
7 |
4.88 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
4.6 |
| 2011 |
25 |
110 |
111 |
53 |
82 |
15 |
7 |
4.76 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
5.1 |
| 2012 |
26 |
99 |
101 |
46 |
74 |
14 |
6 |
4.79 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
5.0 |
| 2013 |
27 |
89 |
92 |
41 |
66 |
13 |
5 |
4.87 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
4.3 |
| 2014 |
28 |
80 |
82 |
36 |
59 |
11 |
5 |
4.75 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
5.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.