Baseball Projection.com

Roger Deago

Age: 32 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 4 62 64 8 33 42 3 37 34 4.94 56 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 47 57 30 29 9 3 6.70
20th 50 59 31 32 9 3 6.30
30th 55 60 31 36 8 3 5.40
40th 59 62 32 39 8 3 5.03
50th 62 64 33 42 8 3 4.94
60th 64 63 33 44 7 3 4.50
70th 66 63 32 46 7 3 4.23
80th 68 62 31 48 6 2 3.84
90th 70 61 30 51 5 2 3.47

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 32 62 65 32 44 8 3 4.95 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 33 56 59 30 39 7 2 4.97 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 34 50 54 27 34 7 2 5.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 35 45 48 25 30 6 2 5.17 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 36 40 43 23 27 5 2 5.23 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 37 36 39 21 23 5 2 5.41 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.