Baseball Projection.com

Jordan DeJong

Age: 30 Team: TOR
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 44 48 7 23 32 2 28 26 5.32 40 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 32 44 22 21 8 3 8.16
20th 35 45 22 24 8 3 7.46
30th 38 46 22 27 8 2 6.63
40th 41 47 23 29 7 2 5.93
50th 44 48 23 32 7 2 5.32
60th 46 47 22 34 6 2 4.70
70th 47 47 22 36 6 1 4.40
80th 49 45 21 38 5 1 3.86
90th 51 44 19 41 4 0 3.35

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
2 0.2 1.3

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 30 44 47 23 34 6 2 5.11 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 31 40 43 21 30 6 2 5.26 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 32 35 39 19 26 5 2 5.48 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 33 31 35 18 23 5 2 5.82 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 34 29 31 16 21 4 1 5.17 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 35 25 29 15 18 4 1 5.95 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.