Baseball Projection.com

Jorge de la Rosa

Age: 28 Team: COL

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Won	Lost	IP	Hits	HR	BB	SO	HB	Runs	ER	ERA	Games	GS
6	6	108	113	14	48	92	4	61	56	4.67	22	22

**Percentiles**
Percentile	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA
10th	82	97	43	67	14	5	6.04
20th	89	101	44	73	14	4	5.56
30th	95	105	45	80	14	4	5.31
40th	101	109	47	86	14	4	4.99
50th	108	113	48	92	14	4	4.67
60th	110	112	48	95	13	4	4.50
70th	113	113	47	98	13	3	4.30
80th	116	112	46	102	12	3	3.96
90th	120	110	45	107	11	2	3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
Runs Wins Value ($mil)

14 1.3 6.1

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEAR AGE Innings Hits BB SO HR HB ERA Ex. Lev WAR Value ($mil)
2009 28 108 110 48 91 13 5 4.54 1.0 1.2 5.4

2010 29 98 100 42 82 12 4 4.51 1.0 1.1 5.5

2011 30 87 90 39 72 11 4 4.67 1.0 0.9 4.6

2012 31 79 81 35 64 10 3 4.59 1.0 0.9 5.0

2013 32 71 73 32 57 9 3 4.64 1.0 0.8 4.9

2014 33 63 66 30 50 8 3 4.82 1.0 0.5 3.4

**Weighted Value above replacement**
Runs	Wins	Value ($mil)
14	1.3	6.1

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Innings	Hits	BB	SO	HR	HB	ERA	Ex. Lev	WAR	Value ($mil)
2009	28	108	110	48	91	13	5	4.54	1.0	1.2	5.4
2010	29	98	100	42	82	12	4	4.51	1.0	1.1	5.5
2011	30	87	90	39	72	11	4	4.67	1.0	0.9	4.6
2012	31	79	81	35	64	10	3	4.59	1.0	0.9	5.0
2013	32	71	73	32	57	9	3	4.64	1.0	0.8	4.9
2014	33	63	66	30	50	8	3	4.82	1.0	0.5	3.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.