Baseball Projection.com

Wilkins De la Rosa

Age: 24 Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 51 62 11 30 30 2 40 37 6.53 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 36 57 29 19 13 3 10.50
20th 40 58 29 21 12 3 9.00
30th 44 59 29 25 12 2 7.98
40th 48 60 30 27 11 2 6.94
50th 51 62 30 30 11 2 6.53
60th 53 61 29 32 10 2 5.94
70th 55 60 28 34 9 1 5.24
80th 58 58 27 36 8 1 4.66
90th 61 55 25 40 6 0 3.69

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
3 0.3 1.7

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 51 61 31 32 11 2 6.55 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 46 55 27 29 10 2 6.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 42 49 24 26 9 2 6.31 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 38 45 21 23 8 2 6.33 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 34 40 19 20 7 2 6.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 31 36 17 18 6 1 6.03 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.