Manny Delcarmen
Age: 27
Team: BOS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 6 |
3 |
75 |
67 |
5 |
28 |
70 |
3 |
30 |
28 |
3.36 |
68 |
0 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
56 |
60 |
26 |
49 |
6 |
4 |
4.82 |
| 20th |
61 |
61 |
27 |
54 |
6 |
4 |
4.43 |
| 30th |
66 |
63 |
27 |
60 |
6 |
3 |
3.95 |
| 40th |
70 |
65 |
28 |
65 |
5 |
3 |
3.60 |
| 50th |
75 |
67 |
28 |
70 |
5 |
3 |
3.36 |
| 60th |
77 |
67 |
27 |
73 |
5 |
3 |
3.16 |
| 70th |
79 |
66 |
27 |
76 |
4 |
2 |
2.85 |
| 80th |
82 |
64 |
26 |
79 |
3 |
2 |
2.41 |
| 90th |
84 |
63 |
25 |
83 |
2 |
1 |
2.14 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 12 |
1.8 |
8.3 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
27 |
76 |
65 |
28 |
76 |
5 |
3 |
3.16 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
8.7 |
| 2010 |
28 |
68 |
59 |
25 |
68 |
5 |
3 |
3.28 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
6.8 |
| 2011 |
29 |
62 |
53 |
22 |
61 |
4 |
2 |
3.10 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
9.2 |
| 2012 |
30 |
55 |
48 |
20 |
54 |
4 |
2 |
3.27 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
6.6 |
| 2013 |
31 |
50 |
43 |
18 |
48 |
3 |
2 |
3.12 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
9.0 |
| 2014 |
32 |
44 |
39 |
17 |
42 |
3 |
2 |
3.38 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
5.5 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.