Baseball Projection.com

Richard De los Santos

Age: 25 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 4 61 74 10 28 27 3 43 40 5.9 11 11

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 44 67 28 16 12 4 9.00
20th 49 69 27 19 12 4 7.90
30th 53 70 28 22 11 3 6.96
40th 57 73 28 24 11 3 6.63
50th 61 74 28 27 10 3 5.90
60th 63 73 27 29 9 3 5.43
70th 66 72 26 31 8 2 4.64
80th 68 70 25 33 7 2 4.24
90th 72 67 23 36 5 1 3.38

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
4 0.4 2.2

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 61 76 27 28 10 3 5.99 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 55 69 24 25 9 2 5.97 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 50 62 21 23 8 2 5.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 45 56 19 20 7 2 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 40 50 17 18 7 2 6.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 36 45 15 16 6 2 5.97 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.