Baseball Projection.com

Julio DePaula

Age: 26 Team: TBA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 4 66 71 9 34 42 4 41 38 5.18 60 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 49 62 31 29 10 5 7.16
20th 53 65 32 32 10 4 6.62
30th 58 66 32 36 9 4 5.74
40th 62 69 33 39 9 4 5.52
50th 66 71 34 42 9 4 5.18
60th 68 70 34 44 8 4 4.76
70th 70 70 33 46 8 3 4.37
80th 72 69 32 48 7 3 4.00
90th 75 68 31 51 6 2 3.60

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 66 72 33 44 9 4 5.17 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 59 65 29 39 8 4 5.22 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 54 59 26 35 7 3 5.07 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 48 54 23 31 7 3 5.36 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 43 48 21 28 6 3 5.32 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 39 43 19 25 5 2 5.11 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.