Ross Detwiler
Age: 23
Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
6 |
81 |
89 |
12 |
47 |
58 |
4 |
54 |
50 |
5.56 |
18 |
18 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
59 |
80 |
45 |
38 |
14 |
5 |
8.24 |
| 20th |
64 |
83 |
45 |
43 |
14 |
5 |
7.59 |
| 30th |
70 |
85 |
45 |
48 |
13 |
5 |
6.69 |
| 40th |
76 |
87 |
46 |
53 |
13 |
4 |
6.04 |
| 50th |
81 |
89 |
47 |
58 |
12 |
4 |
5.56 |
| 60th |
84 |
88 |
46 |
61 |
11 |
4 |
5.04 |
| 70th |
86 |
87 |
45 |
64 |
10 |
3 |
4.60 |
| 80th |
90 |
84 |
43 |
68 |
8 |
2 |
3.90 |
| 90th |
94 |
82 |
40 |
73 |
7 |
1 |
3.35 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 6 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
23 |
81 |
90 |
47 |
54 |
12 |
4 |
5.58 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
24 |
73 |
81 |
41 |
50 |
11 |
4 |
5.55 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
25 |
66 |
73 |
37 |
45 |
10 |
3 |
5.51 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
26 |
59 |
66 |
32 |
40 |
9 |
3 |
5.54 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
27 |
53 |
59 |
29 |
36 |
8 |
3 |
5.54 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
28 |
48 |
54 |
25 |
32 |
7 |
2 |
5.44 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.