Baseball Projection.com

Branden Dewing

Age: 25 Team: OAK
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
1 3 31 38 6 20 12 1 25 23 6.68 30 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 22 35 19 7 7 2 10.64
20th 25 36 19 8 7 1 9.00
30th 27 36 19 10 6 1 7.67
40th 29 37 20 11 6 1 7.14
50th 31 38 20 12 6 1 6.68
60th 33 37 19 13 5 1 5.45
70th 34 37 19 14 5 1 5.29
80th 35 36 18 15 4 0 4.63
90th 37 34 17 17 3 0 3.89

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
0 0.0 0.4

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 25 31 38 21 13 6 1 6.77 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 26 28 34 18 12 5 1 6.51 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 27 25 32 16 10 5 1 7.02 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 28 23 28 14 9 4 1 6.42 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 29 20 26 12 8 4 1 7.04 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 30 18 24 11 7 4 1 7.42 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.