Baseball Projection.com

Scott Diamond

Age: 22 Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 5 73 82 13 37 48 3 49 45 5.55 13 13

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 52 76 36 31 16 4 9.00
20th 58 77 36 35 15 4 7.60
30th 63 78 36 40 14 4 6.71
40th 68 81 37 44 14 3 6.22
50th 73 82 37 48 13 3 5.55
60th 76 80 36 51 12 3 5.09
70th 78 79 35 54 11 2 4.62
80th 82 77 33 57 9 1 3.84
90th 86 73 30 62 7 0 3.14

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 22 72 84 37 45 13 3 5.88 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 23 65 76 33 41 12 3 5.91 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 24 59 68 29 38 11 3 5.81 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 25 54 61 25 35 10 2 5.56 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 26 48 55 22 31 9 2 5.65 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 27 43 50 20 27 8 2 5.77 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.