Amalio Diaz
Age: 22
Team: LAA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
111 |
137 |
19 |
55 |
50 |
8 |
83 |
77 |
6.24 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
82 |
119 |
51 |
33 |
20 |
9 |
8.45 |
| 20th |
90 |
124 |
51 |
38 |
20 |
9 |
7.70 |
| 30th |
97 |
128 |
52 |
42 |
19 |
8 |
7.05 |
| 40th |
104 |
132 |
54 |
46 |
19 |
8 |
6.58 |
| 50th |
111 |
137 |
55 |
50 |
19 |
8 |
6.24 |
| 60th |
114 |
137 |
54 |
53 |
18 |
7 |
5.84 |
| 70th |
118 |
136 |
53 |
55 |
17 |
7 |
5.42 |
| 80th |
122 |
134 |
52 |
58 |
15 |
6 |
4.94 |
| 90th |
126 |
131 |
50 |
62 |
13 |
5 |
4.36 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
22 |
111 |
135 |
56 |
53 |
20 |
8 |
6.21 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
23 |
101 |
121 |
49 |
49 |
18 |
8 |
6.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
24 |
91 |
109 |
44 |
45 |
16 |
7 |
6.03 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
25 |
82 |
98 |
39 |
41 |
14 |
6 |
5.95 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
26 |
74 |
88 |
34 |
37 |
13 |
6 |
5.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
27 |
67 |
80 |
30 |
33 |
12 |
5 |
5.92 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.