Baseball Projection.com

Jake Dittler

Age: 26 Team: TEX
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 2 38 45 4 17 18 2 24 22 5.21 34 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 28 40 16 12 5 2 7.39
20th 30 42 16 13 5 2 7.20
30th 33 42 16 15 4 2 6.00
40th 35 44 17 16 4 2 5.91
50th 38 45 17 18 4 2 5.21
60th 39 45 17 19 4 2 5.08
70th 40 44 16 20 3 2 4.50
80th 42 44 15 22 3 1 4.07
90th 43 42 15 23 2 1 3.56

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 38 44 17 20 4 2 5.14 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 27 35 39 15 18 3 1 4.66 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 28 31 36 13 16 3 1 4.96 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 29 28 32 12 14 3 1 4.98 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 30 25 29 11 12 2 1 4.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 31 23 26 10 11 2 1 4.81 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.