Baseball Projection.com

Daniel Dorn

Age: 24 Team: CIN
CHONE 2009 Projection
GamesAtbatsRunsHits2B 3BHRRBISBCS BBSOHBPAVGOBPSLG R150POSSpeed
114 414 60 103 21 2 19 69 2 1 38 112 5 0.249 0.319 0.447 -12 OF 4.1

Percentiles
PercentileLW Runsvs. ReplAtbatsHits 2B3BHRBBSO HBPAVGOBPSLG
10th -2 0 17 4 1 0 1 1 5 0 0.235 0.278 0.471
20th -9 0 118 25 4 0 4 9 35 1 0.212 0.273 0.347
30th -12 0 219 49 9 1 8 17 63 2 0.224 0.286 0.384
40th -13 0 317 75 15 1 13 27 88 3 0.237 0.303 0.413
50th -9 6 414 103 21 2 19 38 112 5 0.249 0.319 0.447
60th -2 14 450 117 25 3 23 43 118 6 0.260 0.333 0.482
70th 7 24 484 132 29 4 27 50 123 7 0.273 0.349 0.517
80th 18 37 517 148 34 5 31 56 127 9 0.286 0.366 0.551
90th 29 49 550 165 39 6 36 63 130 11 0.300 0.383 0.589

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement: 14


6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEAtbatsHits 2B3BHRSBCSBBSO HBPAVGOBPSLG
2009 24 416 100 21 2 16 2 1 36 113 5 0.240 0.309 0.416
2010 25 415 102 22 2 17 2 1 37 110 5 0.246 0.315 0.431
2011 26 413 102 22 2 17 2 1 39 107 5 0.247 0.319 0.433
2012 27 412 102 22 2 18 2 1 40 106 5 0.248 0.322 0.442
2013 28 411 101 22 2 18 2 1 41 106 5 0.246 0.322 0.440
2014 29 411 99 21 1 18 2 1 41 107 5 0.241 0.317 0.428



Defensive Projection
Position1B2B3BSSOFCFC
Runs -4 -- -- -- -2 -11 --

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

Simple Player Valuation
if Defense is:Wins above RepDollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs) 1.8 7.9
Good (+7 runs) 1.4 6.2
Average (0 runs) 1.1 4.8
Poor (-7 runs) 0.8 3.5
Putrid (-15 runs) 0.5 2.2

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

Fantasy Valuation
League type20th50th80th
12 team mixed 1 1 16
12 team AL or NL only 1 3 28

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.