Eric DuBose
Age: 33
Team: LAN
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
5 |
70 |
77 |
11 |
41 |
50 |
4 |
47 |
43 |
5.53 |
14 |
14 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
51 |
68 |
38 |
34 |
12 |
5 |
7.94 |
| 20th |
56 |
70 |
39 |
38 |
12 |
5 |
7.23 |
| 30th |
61 |
73 |
39 |
42 |
12 |
4 |
6.49 |
| 40th |
65 |
75 |
40 |
46 |
11 |
4 |
6.09 |
| 50th |
70 |
77 |
41 |
50 |
11 |
4 |
5.53 |
| 60th |
72 |
76 |
40 |
52 |
10 |
4 |
5.25 |
| 70th |
74 |
76 |
39 |
55 |
10 |
3 |
4.99 |
| 80th |
77 |
74 |
38 |
58 |
8 |
3 |
4.21 |
| 90th |
80 |
72 |
36 |
62 |
7 |
2 |
3.71 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
33 |
69 |
79 |
41 |
46 |
10 |
4 |
5.82 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
34 |
62 |
72 |
38 |
40 |
9 |
3 |
5.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
35 |
55 |
65 |
34 |
36 |
9 |
3 |
6.21 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
36 |
49 |
58 |
32 |
31 |
8 |
3 |
6.34 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
37 |
44 |
53 |
29 |
27 |
7 |
2 |
6.39 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
38 |
40 |
47 |
27 |
24 |
6 |
2 |
6.23 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.