Michael Dunn
Age: 24
Team: NYA
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
7 |
97 |
114 |
19 |
61 |
64 |
4 |
74 |
68 |
6.31 |
21 |
21 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
70 |
102 |
57 |
42 |
21 |
5 |
9.39 |
| 20th |
77 |
104 |
58 |
48 |
20 |
5 |
8.18 |
| 30th |
84 |
108 |
58 |
54 |
20 |
5 |
7.50 |
| 40th |
90 |
111 |
60 |
59 |
19 |
4 |
6.90 |
| 50th |
97 |
114 |
61 |
64 |
19 |
4 |
6.31 |
| 60th |
100 |
113 |
60 |
67 |
18 |
3 |
5.94 |
| 70th |
103 |
112 |
59 |
71 |
17 |
3 |
5.50 |
| 80th |
107 |
110 |
57 |
75 |
15 |
2 |
4.88 |
| 90th |
112 |
107 |
54 |
80 |
13 |
1 |
4.26 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
97 |
111 |
63 |
68 |
18 |
4 |
6.21 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
88 |
99 |
56 |
61 |
16 |
4 |
6.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
79 |
91 |
49 |
55 |
15 |
3 |
6.19 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
71 |
82 |
43 |
49 |
13 |
3 |
6.13 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
64 |
74 |
38 |
44 |
12 |
3 |
6.14 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
58 |
67 |
34 |
39 |
11 |
3 |
6.15 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.