Brandon Durden
Age: 24
Team: COL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 4 |
8 |
104 |
135 |
22 |
47 |
48 |
4 |
82 |
76 |
6.58 |
20 |
20 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
76 |
120 |
45 |
31 |
24 |
5 |
9.36 |
| 20th |
83 |
123 |
45 |
35 |
23 |
5 |
8.35 |
| 30th |
90 |
127 |
45 |
40 |
23 |
5 |
7.70 |
| 40th |
97 |
131 |
46 |
44 |
22 |
4 |
7.05 |
| 50th |
104 |
135 |
47 |
48 |
22 |
4 |
6.58 |
| 60th |
107 |
134 |
46 |
51 |
21 |
4 |
6.14 |
| 70th |
111 |
133 |
45 |
53 |
19 |
3 |
5.59 |
| 80th |
115 |
130 |
43 |
57 |
17 |
2 |
5.01 |
| 90th |
120 |
127 |
40 |
61 |
15 |
1 |
4.35 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 4 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
105 |
131 |
47 |
48 |
20 |
4 |
6.17 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
95 |
118 |
41 |
43 |
18 |
4 |
6.10 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
86 |
107 |
36 |
39 |
17 |
3 |
6.10 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
77 |
96 |
32 |
35 |
15 |
3 |
6.10 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
70 |
87 |
28 |
31 |
14 |
3 |
6.08 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
63 |
79 |
25 |
27 |
12 |
2 |
6.03 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.