Baseball Projection.com

Jack Egbert

Age: 26 Team: CHA
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
6 8 128 148 18 50 92 7 80 74 5.2 24 24

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 97 127 45 66 18 8 6.59
20th 105 132 46 73 18 7 6.09
30th 112 138 47 79 18 7 5.87
40th 120 143 49 85 18 7 5.48
50th 128 148 50 92 18 7 5.20
60th 131 148 49 95 17 7 4.95
70th 135 147 49 99 16 6 4.60
80th 139 146 47 104 15 5 4.27
90th 142 145 46 108 14 5 4.06

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
15 1.4 6.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 26 130 141 49 98 15 7 4.64 1.0 1.3 5.9
2010 27 117 127 44 88 14 6 4.66 1.0 1.1 5.5
2011 28 106 115 39 78 12 5 4.58 1.0 1.1 6.1
2012 29 95 104 34 70 11 5 4.64 1.0 1.0 5.6
2013 30 86 94 31 62 10 4 4.62 1.0 0.9 6.1
2014 31 77 84 29 55 9 4 4.68 1.0 0.8 5.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.