Baseball Projection.com

A.J. Ellis

Age: 28 Team: LAN

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
110	360	48	87	18	2	5	49	2	1	52	72	5	0.242	0.345	0.344	-15	C	3.9

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-14	0	168	34	6	0	1	20	38	1	0.202	0.291	0.256
20th	-14	0	217	46	8	1	2	27	48	2	0.212	0.305	0.286
30th	-14	0	266	59	11	1	3	35	57	2	0.222	0.317	0.305
40th	-13	0	313	73	14	2	4	44	65	3	0.233	0.333	0.329
50th	-10	3	360	87	18	2	5	52	72	5	0.242	0.345	0.344
60th	-6	9	394	100	21	3	7	60	76	6	0.254	0.361	0.376
70th	0	16	427	112	24	4	8	68	80	7	0.262	0.373	0.393
80th	6	23	461	126	28	5	10	76	83	8	0.273	0.385	0.421
90th	14	33	493	139	32	6	11	85	86	10	0.282	0.398	0.438

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	28	363	88	18	2	5	2	1	49	71	5	0.242	0.341	0.344
2010	29	362	86	18	2	5	2	1	50	71	5	0.238	0.338	0.340
2011	30	343	82	17	2	5	2	1	49	67	4	0.239	0.341	0.344
2012	31	325	76	16	2	4	1	1	47	64	4	0.234	0.338	0.332
2013	32	308	72	15	1	4	1	1	45	61	4	0.234	0.339	0.328
2014	33	292	67	14	1	4	1	1	43	59	4	0.229	0.336	0.325

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	-1	--	--	--	--	--	-4

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	2.3	10.1
Good (+7 runs)	1.8	7.9
Average (0 runs)	1.4	6.2
Poor (-7 runs)	1.1	4.8
Putrid (-15 runs)	0.7	3.1

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	11
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	15

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.