Baseball Projection.com

Jesse English

Age: 24 Team: SFN
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
3 6 78 84 14 45 58 4 53 49 5.65 18 18

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 56 77 43 38 16 5 8.68
20th 61 79 43 43 16 5 7.82
30th 67 80 44 48 15 5 6.85
40th 72 83 44 53 15 4 6.38
50th 78 84 45 58 14 4 5.65
60th 80 83 44 61 13 4 5.18
70th 83 82 43 64 12 3 4.66
80th 87 79 41 68 10 2 4.03
90th 91 76 38 73 8 2 3.26

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
5 0.5 2.6

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 77 85 45 55 15 4 5.90 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 70 77 40 50 14 3 5.85 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 63 70 35 45 13 3 5.92 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 57 63 31 40 11 3 5.78 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 51 57 28 36 10 2 5.84 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 46 52 24 32 9 2 5.84 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.