Baseball Projection.com

Barry Enright

Age: 23 Team: ARI
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
4 7 98 114 22 42 62 3 69 64 5.88 19 19

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 72 103 40 41 24 4 8.50
20th 78 105 41 46 23 4 7.73
30th 85 108 41 52 23 4 6.99
40th 91 111 42 57 22 3 6.43
50th 98 114 42 62 22 3 5.88
60th 101 113 41 65 21 3 5.52
70th 105 111 40 68 19 2 4.89
80th 109 108 38 73 17 1 4.38
90th 113 105 36 78 15 0 3.74

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
7 0.7 3.5

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 23 99 112 41 60 20 3 5.54 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 24 90 100 36 55 18 3 5.40 1.0 0.2 0.9
2011 25 81 90 32 50 16 3 5.38 1.0 0.2 1.0
2012 26 72 82 28 44 15 3 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 27 66 73 25 40 13 2 5.28 1.0 0.2 1.2
2014 28 59 67 22 35 12 2 5.46 1.0 0.1 0.7

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.