Baseball Projection.com

Darin Erstad

Age: 35 Team: HOU

**CHONE 2009 Projection**
Games	Atbats	Runs	Hits	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG	R150	POS	Speed
124	374	48	92	18	1	5	36	4	2	29	71	2	0.246	0.304	0.340	-28	CF	5.5

**Percentiles**
Percentile	LW Runs	vs. Repl	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
10th	-1	0	15	3	0	0	0	1	3	0	0.200	0.250	0.200
20th	-9	0	106	24	4	0	1	7	22	0	0.226	0.274	0.292
30th	-14	0	197	45	8	0	2	14	40	0	0.228	0.280	0.299
40th	-17	0	286	68	13	1	3	21	56	1	0.238	0.292	0.322
50th	-18	0	374	92	18	1	5	29	71	2	0.246	0.304	0.340
60th	-15	0	396	101	20	1	6	32	73	2	0.255	0.314	0.356
70th	-11	4	418	110	23	1	7	35	75	3	0.263	0.325	0.373
80th	-8	7	439	119	26	2	8	39	77	3	0.271	0.335	0.394
90th	-4	12	460	128	29	2	9	42	78	4	0.278	0.344	0.409

Weighted Batting Runs over Replacement:

**6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)**
YEAR	AGE	Atbats	Hits	2B	3B	HR	SB	CS	BB	SO	HBP	AVG	OBP	SLG
2009	35	375	92	18	1	5	4	2	28	71	2	0.245	0.301	0.339
2010	36	356	85	16	1	4	4	2	27	68	2	0.239	0.296	0.323
2011	37	339	79	15	1	4	3	1	26	65	1	0.233	0.290	0.319
2012	38	323	73	13	1	4	2	1	24	63	1	0.226	0.282	0.310
2013	39	307	67	12	0	3	2	1	23	62	1	0.218	0.275	0.287
2014	40	292	62	11	0	3	2	1	21	61	1	0.212	0.268	0.281

**Defensive Projection**
Position	1B	2B	3B	SS	OF	CF	C
Runs	4	--	--	--	5	-2	--

Defensive projections based on major and minor league TotalZone ratings

**Simple Player Valuation**
if Defense is:	Wins above Rep	Dollar Value ($mil)
Excellent (+15 runs)	0.9	4
Good (+7 runs)	0.6	2.6
Average (0 runs)	0.4	1.8
Poor (-7 runs)	0.2	0.9
Putrid (-15 runs)	0	0.4

Player valuation is based on 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009. It includes weighted batting runs above replacement, position adjustment, baserunning based on speed score, and YOU provide the defense estimate based on the above chart.

**Fantasy Valuation**
League type	20th	50th	80th
12 team mixed	1	1	1
12 team AL or NL only	1	1	1

Fantasy baseball value assumes a standard $260 salary cap.