Dustin Evans
Age: 24
Team: ATL
CHONE 2009 Projection
| Won | Lost | IP | Hits | HR |
BB | SO | HB | Runs | ER |
ERA | Games | GS |
|---|
| 3 |
4 |
60 |
69 |
11 |
32 |
34 |
3 |
42 |
39 |
5.85 |
13 |
13 |
Percentiles
| Percentile | Innings | Hits | BB | SO |
HR | HB | ERA |
|---|
| 10th |
43 |
63 |
31 |
22 |
13 |
4 |
9.00 |
| 20th |
48 |
64 |
31 |
25 |
12 |
4 |
7.88 |
| 30th |
52 |
66 |
31 |
28 |
12 |
3 |
7.10 |
| 40th |
56 |
67 |
32 |
31 |
11 |
3 |
6.43 |
| 50th |
60 |
69 |
32 |
34 |
11 |
3 |
5.85 |
| 60th |
62 |
68 |
31 |
36 |
10 |
3 |
5.37 |
| 70th |
65 |
67 |
30 |
38 |
9 |
2 |
4.71 |
| 80th |
67 |
65 |
29 |
41 |
8 |
2 |
4.16 |
| 90th |
71 |
62 |
27 |
44 |
6 |
1 |
3.42 |
Weighted Value above replacement
| Runs | Wins | Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 3 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
| YEAR | AGE | Innings | Hits |
BB | SO | HR | HB | ERA | Ex. Lev | WAR |
Value ($mil) |
|---|
| 2009 |
24 |
60 |
71 |
32 |
32 |
11 |
3 |
6.06 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2010 |
25 |
54 |
64 |
28 |
29 |
10 |
2 |
6.00 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2011 |
26 |
49 |
58 |
25 |
26 |
9 |
2 |
5.97 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2012 |
27 |
44 |
52 |
22 |
23 |
8 |
2 |
5.93 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2013 |
28 |
39 |
48 |
19 |
20 |
8 |
2 |
6.32 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
| 2014 |
29 |
35 |
43 |
17 |
18 |
7 |
2 |
6.29 |
1.0 |
0.0 |
0.4 |
Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers.
To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.
WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.
Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now,
the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.