Baseball Projection.com

Clint Everts

Age: 24 Team: WAS
CHONE 2009 Projection
WonLostIPHitsHR BBSOHBRunsER ERAGamesGS
2 3 41 42 6 27 36 3 27 25 5.49 38 0

Percentiles
PercentileInningsHitsBBSO HRHBERA
10th 29 38 25 24 7 4 8.38
20th 32 39 26 27 7 3 7.59
30th 35 40 26 30 6 3 6.43
40th 38 41 27 33 6 3 5.92
50th 41 42 27 36 6 3 5.49
60th 42 42 26 38 6 3 5.14
70th 44 41 26 40 5 2 4.30
80th 45 40 25 42 4 2 3.80
90th 47 38 24 44 3 2 3.26

Weighted Value above replacement
RunsWinsValue ($mil)
1 0.1 0.8

6 Year Forecast (Neutral Park/League)
YEARAGEInningsHits BBSOHRHBERAEx. LevWAR Value ($mil)
2009 24 41 42 27 34 6 3 5.40 1.0 0.0 0.4
2010 25 37 39 24 30 6 2 5.58 1.0 0.0 0.4
2011 26 33 35 21 27 5 2 5.53 1.0 0.0 0.4
2012 27 29 32 19 24 5 2 5.98 1.0 0.0 0.4
2013 28 27 28 16 22 4 2 5.30 1.0 0.0 0.4
2014 29 24 26 14 19 4 2 5.67 1.0 0.0 0.4

Ex. Lev = expected leverage index. It accounts for the increased importance of innings pitched by late inning relievers. To learn more about pitcher leverage, check out Inside the Book.

WAR = Wins above repleacement. In a neutral park and league, replacement level is set for 2009 at an ERA of 5.54 for starters and 4.45 for relievers.

Dollar value is based on a 4.4 million dollars per win for 2009, and increasing 10% each year thereafter. As of now, the CHONE projection system does not include a macroeconomic model to improve the inflation forecast.